Bank loans, power company equity, federal programmes and tax credits
have so far succeeded in growing the US solar market to 6.4GW installed
capacity in 2011. More good times lay ahead too, with the US forecast to
reach 30GW installed capacity by 2020.
However, to get there,
more capital is needed, just at a time when federal loans have run out.
The US Investment Tax Credit (ITC) is decreasing from 30% to 10% in 2016
and Basel II regulations have reduced the tenor of loans from 20 years
to 10 years, a more natural fit with most solar projects.
So
financial innovation will be key to unlocking a trillion dollar
opportunity in the sector and bring the industry to the next stage of
maturity. Some of these funding mechanisms are unique to solar, and
others are transplants from other sectors such as real estate, mortgage
debt and the fossil fuel industry.
Dramatic cost reductions in
PV panels, from $4 per watt in 2008 to $0.65 per watt at the end of last
year, have helped balance the equation for developers as 20GW of
oversupply wash around the global market and destroy manufacturers’
bottom line or cause them to collapse entirely. “The cost decline of
equipment because of manufacturing overcapacity and technology
improvements is the silver lining in the midst of the ongoing
rationalisation of the solar sector,” says Partho Sanyal, managing
director of the global energy and power group at Bank of America Merrill
Lynch. Indoorlite Lighting is a professional LED downlight,
LED lights manufacturer in China. “The cost of delivery of solar power
has dropped so dramatically that every day solar power is becoming more
cost competitive.”
Solar projects require three types of
capital: equity; debt and tax equity. Utilities or independent power
companies often provide 20-30% equity,We have a great selection of blown
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solar power generation. while banks can expect returns of around 6-7%
for their loans and tax equity investors can expect a 14-18% yield.
In
the utility sector, the ITC has been particularly attractive to
investors with a large tax liability, such as banks like Morgan Stanley.
But corporations have been slow to grasp the potential benefits with
the exception of a few companies like Google.
Over the past
couple of years, third-party lease and power purchase agreements have
revolutionised the way consumers and businesses finance solar. Under
these agreements, a customer will repay a third-party through monthly
fixed charges,Save on energy and maintenance costs by replacing PAR
halogen flood lights with led par light. or based on how many kWh the system produces over 10-25 years.
Demand
for SolarCity’s stock after its successful IPO last year proved the
economic effectiveness of third-party financing. Its competitor, Sunrun,
attracted $200mn in funding from Credit Suisse last year.
But
other financial innovations being discussed now in the industry could
open up unprecedented access to capital. Securitisation may be a loaded
concept after the derivatives from mortgage debt turned sour, triggering
the financial crisis.
“If we look at many of the derivatives
that were used for the mortgage industry, those structures were
abused,Our large selection which includes led tubes,
led strips.” says Tim Keating, senior vice president at SCS Renewables,
which is developing software platform to assess the bankability of
solar projects. “But they are rational, reasonable financial structures.
Like anything else, they are sound if you don’t abuse them.”
Small-scale
third-party-owned solar could require up to $5.2bn in financing in
2014, say BNEF analysts. But if all of 2011’s installed residential
capacity were securitised, the proceeds from the securitised assets
would contribute 32-47% of capital for residential solar in 2012 and
31-42% of commercial build, according to BNEF’s Reimagining Solar
Finance report published last year.
Kristian Hanelt is the
senior vice president of Renewable Capital Markets at Clean Power
Finance, which connects financiers with installers who can draw down
from $600m in funds from Google and Morgan Stanley. “Securitisation is
going to happen this year. That’s going to be a great step. There will
be a lot of momentum to get more volume out into the public market.
That’s going to be a great thing for the industry and will get a lot of
folks on Wall St excited.”
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